Establishing a foreign exchange futures market in China [electronic resource] / by Zhongxia Jin, Yue Zhao, and Haobin Wang.

[Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, 2021.©2021

Jin, Zhongxia. author.

International Monetary Fund. issuing body.

01-01-2021

1 online resource (22 pages).

text

online resource

IMF working paper ; no. 21/268

IMF working paper ; no. 21/268.

WEB (Copy 1) INTERNET 1325479-1001 ONLINE

Open item 

Foreign exchange markets

China

Economic models

Overseas item

"November 2021"

Includes bibliographical references.

9781513584843

Although foreign exchange (FX) futures markets have been relatively prevalent in many developed countries and emerging markets, some other countries, including China, have not established such a market partly due to concerns about its ability to amplify the risk of the underlying exchange rate's volatility. This paper analyzes the impact of establishing FX futures markets on the volatility of the underlying spot rate based on data from major developing countries. Our analysis shows that FX futures market is not empirically associated with an increase in FX volatility and in some cases even with a decrease in FX volatility. Compared with the over-the-counter (OTC) market, the FX futures markets can better meet the hedging needs of small and medium-sized enterprises due to their standardized products, greater transparency, and stronger oversight. Going forward, it is in China's interests to accelerate the establishment of an FX futures market and allow for a more market-based approach to ensure the stability and sustainability of such a market.

1325479

1325479-1001

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