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Official projections of Japanese beef imports



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PRIMARY INDUSTRY MEDIA RELEASE · ·· < .

STATEMENT BY THE MINISTER FOR PRIMARY INDUSTRY

CANBERRA

13 December 1979.

OFFICIAL PROJECTIONS OF. JAPANESE BEEF. IMPORTS

The Minister for Primary Industry, Mr Peter Nixon, today

welcomed some important revisions made by the Japanese

Government in its official projections of beef imports through

the 1980's. "'

Mr Nixon said that in previous projections, Japan had aimed to be

over 80% self-sufficient by 1985.

"This would have meant a substantial restraint on imports by the

Japanese Government. However, under the new projections, self™_

sufficiency will be allowed to decline to about 70%, which will

enable significant expansion in imports."

Mr Nixon said analysis by the,Bureau of Agricultural Economics

had? , for a long time, indicated that, even under existing beef

policies, Japan would require substantially greater levels of

beef imports.

"The-,, official recognition of this fact in the new Japanese ' . ! : ■ '

Government projections is important because it indicates a

greater likelihood that Japan will allow imports to expand",

Mr Nixon said.

■ . *■ . ’ · . .

"The level of imports is now projected to reach 186 k t by 1985,

compared with 117 kt in the previous forecast. By 1990 imports

are considered likely to rise to 260 kt.

"The projected expansion of beef imports by Japan clearly shows

the greater role that this market will assume for beef exporters

in the 1980's."

Mr Nixon said, an expansion in shipments to Japan in the mid

19 80's could partly offset the possible increased restraints on

US imports, under the new countercyclical import"law being

adopted by the United States Government.