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(generated from captions) And a short time ago I was joined by the ABC's election analyst Antony Green.Antony Green, let's start by looking at Kevin Rudd's home State of Queensland. At the beginning of this campaign he seemed pretty confident, not only of retaining the seats he already had there but in fact snatching a few from the Coalition. In particular he parachuted Peter Beattie in to Forde, can Peter Beattie win that seat? Look, I don't think so. I think the Labor Party looked like they were recovering as soon as Kevin Rudd became leader but I think in the 2 months since he became leader again the focus has gone back onto party and people are voting on party. It's the Labor Government they want to get rid of. Kevin Rudd boosted the Labor stocks for a while but in the end the Coalition has Ginn given the Labor Party no focus for a scare campaign. And a I think a lot of voters have sat down and said if I re-elected this lot what would they do in government?What about the PM's own seat of Griffith? What's the likelihood that Bill Glasson will do to Kevin Rudd what Maxine McKew managed to do to John Howard in 2007? Maxine McKew won a seat in marginal. If the Government lost in 2007 then Bennelong was likely to fall. It was a hinge seat at that election. Griffith is the safest Labor seat in Queensland. There may be a fair bit of Kevin Rudd's personal support from 2010 because of the change of leadership which is why he's got a larger margin. But it's an inner city electorate, it's got quite a few affluent pockets. It will be interesting to watch but basically if Griffith has gone maybe every seat in Queensland has fallen. All 8? Perhaps, we'll see what happens.Let's talk about Sydney and in particular western Sydney where Labor's holding a raft of seats on a margin of less than 3%. What's been interesting here is actually the performance of the Liberal candidates in Lindsey and in Greenway, Fiona Scott and James Diaz. But in the end what I'm curious about is do you think people are taking that into account or are they voting for Tony Abbott rather than those local candidates? They're voting for a change of government. They're not voting particularly for Tony Abbott or the candidates. People are voting on party. They don't like this Labor Government, the Coalition has given them an alternative, which doesn't frighten them, which looks more competent than the current Government and they're voting for it. But out there in western Sydney we've got some people who are currently senior government ministers, Jason Clare, David Bradbury and others, what are you expecting generally speaking about that area? I think NSW will be very bad generally. It's not just western Sydney, it's the Central Coast, seats in the city like Kingsford Smith. Every seat - the swing is relatively uniform within each State. Basically every seat up to 6% to 7% in Sydney is at risk for Labor, not just the ones in western Sydney.OK, the Greens' vote has been trending up a little in the last couple of months, will it be enough to keep Adam Bandt in the seat of Melbourne, the only Greens Lower House seat? What we don't know is whether he has developed a sitting member factor. Once an MP is elected they get sophomore surges is one of the terms used. They've developed a name for themselves Azzan - as an MP. If there is any swing against the Greens? It seems to be relatively solid. I think Melbourne will be interesting. I can't see the Greens coming in second like grain brrk and I think in Sydney they will have trouble with their support.And preference more generally in the Senate is where the contest seems to be changing quite dramatic Atley. How big a threat do you expect Pauline Hanson to be up against Senator Arthur Sinodinos in NSW? He's a former senior Treasury economist, long-time chief of staff to John Howard, in fact Tony Abbott has suggested he'd like to see him as Finance Minister in a Coalition Government but is he under threat? I don't think he is. If the Coalition do as well as they look like they will be in the Lower House, I think they will get 3 quotas in the Upper House and Arthur Sinodinos will be elected. In that case the Liberal preferences may help elect somebody from one of the smaller right-wing parties. The biggest concern for the Liberal Party in NSW is column A on the ballot paper is a group called Liberal Democrats and their preferences go to people like Hanson and the Shooters and if Fishers. If a number of people read the ballot paper and get confuse and vote for them, the Liberals may lose some of the vote they get in the Lower House between the two Chambers. I think the biggest problem for the Liberal Party is in Victoria and SA. They Vagisil Victorian Liberal seats but it's probably the seat where their first preference vote is weakest and if they fall short of a third quota the preferences could elect Family First senator in place of a Liberal. And the same in SA. If Nick Xenephon gets above a quota and he's likely to get above a quota then the Liberals will fall short of a third quota. I think it's almost certain the Greens and Labor will lose their blocking majority at this election to apply from 1 July. That there will be an alternative path to negotiate legislation through minor parties after this election but the composition of those minor parties is difficult to pick and the other thing that's difficult to know is will the preference deals cut the Liberals off for a couple of third seats which they would have expected to win.And just very quickly, Clive Palmer has estimated he will win 10 to 15 Lower House seats, is he right? It would be one of the most extraordinary emergence s of a party if he did do that. I think there might be one or two seats where he will finish in the first two. He himself may poll well enough in Fairfax to give it a good shake. I'd be surprised if he got anything other than a senator in Queensland. 8 to 10% of the vote, it's a big thing for a new party to get. It took the Greens 15 years to reach that sort of level of vote. Someone like Pauline Hanson, an insurgency party can come from nowhere and certainly Clive Palmer has enough money to get some advertising, perhaps in Queensland with all that Labor vote disappearing some of that vote is going off to someone like Clive Palmer, they won't go and vote for the Coalition. It's very hard for people to cross the entire political divide but going to a third party along the way can be very useful. So I think that's where Clive Palmer will appear. I don't expect him to be moving into a small house in the future.It's been an extremely busy week and will continue to be so for you. Thank you for giving us some of your time tonight.Thank you.

And now to our Friday forum.