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Feels like a boring election? It's not just y -

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SCOTT BEVAN: While many voters may feel this is a boring election, it takes a political historian to give the campaign some perspective.

Well, according to Professor Ross Fitzgerald - historian, political observer, and columnist for The Weekend Australian newspaper - compared to other federal elections, this one is, well, boring.

I spoke with Professor Fitzgerald a short time ago.

Ross Fitzgerald, what would you say about the mood of the electorate and its sense of engagement with this campaign?

ROSS FITZGERALD: Well I think in the main most voters have already made up their own minds, and I think that happened at least a couple of weeks ago. So there's only a relatively small proportion that are undecided. And I'd be extremely surprised if Mr Abbott doesn't win in the House of Representatives - although whether the Coalition gets a majority in the Senate is doubtful.

SCOTT BEVAN: If folks have already made up their mind, are they even listening therefore to what is being said?

ROSS FITZGERALD: In the main, I don't think they are. So while there's a lot of huff and puff about the debates, I don't think that - at least in the first two and I'd be very surprised if it happens with the third debate - whether that changes any significant number of people.

Western Sydney, for example, I've been saying for months and months that the Coalition will win at least six seats in Western Sydney.

I was in two minds about whether Rudd coming back would make much difference in Queensland. Had he gone straight away, that may have made some difference. But the longer Rudd runs the campaign, the more he becomes like he used to be. So the best predictor of future behaviour is past behaviour.

SCOTT BEVAN: Well last week Kevin Rudd invoked the 1993 election when Labor came from behind to win. How likely is it of any hope of history repeating?

ROSS FITZGERALD: I think it's highly unlikely. Unless there was some gigantic blunder or some remarkable scandal, if those two things didn't happen I can't see Mr Abbott not winning. The question is by how many seats.

I had at the beginning of the campaign thought that he'd win by about 23 seats. And Bob Katter being the only person who wasn't a member of the Coalition or of the Labor Party, I think Katter will win his seat in Kennedy. And Katter's Australian Party could also win a Senate seat.

It's really the Senate that could be the most interesting. So you've got Pauline Hanson standing as a number one candidate of One Nation; you've got the Australian Sex Party; you've got the DLP; you've got Family First.

The last Senate spot in each of the states will be what I think will be the most fascinating, along with whether Peter Beattie manages to get up in Ford.

SCOTT BEVAN: If the economy is the most important issue - that's what respondents to polls are saying, that's what the leaders are mostly talking about - why isn't that issue even connecting and getting people listening?

ROSS FITZGERALD: Yeah that's a good question to which I have no ready answer. Except that I don't think the facts matter now. As I said, the vast majority of electors had already made up their mind to get rid of Labor a long time ago.

SCOTT BEVAN: As a historian, Ross Fitzgerald, how does this campaign and the electorate's mood compare with others that you have studied?

ROSS FITZGERALD: I think it's one of the least interesting and most boring. But both of those factors help Abbott rather than Rudd.

SCOTT BEVAN: What do you mean?

ROSS FITZGERALD: Well the fact that it's a bit boring is, in a way, all Abbott has to do and had to do was keep the ship together to keep the ranks from not disintegrating. And he's run a very disciplined campaign. Indeed, he's been very disciplined over the last three years.

SCOTT BEVAN: Professor Ross Fitzgerald, thanks very much.

ROSS FITZGERALD: It's a pleasure.