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Too old, too tricky - can

clever politics save John

Howard. I can't be that clever

because I'm behind in the

polls. Radical intervention,

radical cost. Half a billion

and counting. Ig norance is

bliss. Australians drinking

themselves stupid. And sharing

the pain, Sydney remembers

Japan's lost submariners. Good evening. Juanita

Phillips with ABC News. Well,

the voters think he's past it

and no matter what John Howard

does to change their minds, it

doesn't seem to be working. The

ABC understands that the latest

Newspoll, out tomorrow, shows

little or no improvement in the

Government's popularity. It

would be a double whammy, two

today someone leaked internal

research by the Liberal Party,

blaming John Howard for his

Government's plight. Now he's

old and tricky, that's the

candid assessment of John

Howard in leaked Liberal

research from party pollster

Mark Textor. Also, arrogant,

complacent and reactive. That

is the view of some people. I reject that totally. Government's now been

trailing badly in the polls for

nine months. Mr Textor suggests

he knows why - voters are

praising Kevin Rudd as strong

and competent, just like John

Howard, but younger. I'm not

sure that either Mr Howard or I

would welcome that conclusion. Nor do Howard

loyalists. I reckon that the

people of Australia do not want

a wimp for PM. If you ask me

what I think, of course I say

it's nonsense. I think people

respect and admire the PM. In

1996, Mr Howard came to power

winning over the battler vote.

Now the internal research has

found aspirational voters

drifting back to Labor, as well

as the young, dubbed New Labor

by the report. I think that 68

is just the right age to be PM. With a grim cabinet meeting

today and Parliament resuming

tomorrow, the timing of the

leak could not have been more damaging. Interest rates are another worry for the Government and today one of

John Howard's most senior

economic ministers tried to

talk the Reserve Bank out of a

pre-election rate rise. We

don't see the need for an

interest rate rise, but it's a

matter for the Reserve

Bank. The Textor research says

the PM should blame the states

and that's what he's been

doing. One senior Liberal

backbencher thinks the pressure

on imprats is more

complex. There's a range of

factors, including states. It

reflects the prosperity we

have. Nation's bookies

currently have Rudd-Labor a

firming favourite at a shade

over $1.60 to win and there is

apparently little or no good

news for the PM in the Newspoll

tomorrow. Then, he faced an

equally unflatering character

analysis in 2001 and came from

behind to win. It's an unprecedented reform program,

now it's got a price tag to

match. The cost of the Federal

Government's intervention in NT

Aboriginal communities was

originally put at tens of

millions of dollars. Now that's

blown out to more than half a

billion, but the PM is making

no apologies. From the start,

Mal Brough's intervention in NT

Aboriginal communities has been

driven by one question... What

cost do you put on the life of

a child? At first, the budget

for the extra police, land and

welfare was tipped to be a

modest one. It will be some

tens of millions of dollars.

It's not huge. It is now.

Within six weeks, the price has

billowed by more than $400

million. I can confirm that the

two appropriation bills do come

to in excess of $500 million

for the first year. Medical

checks, troop support and police reinforcements have been

on the ground since June. All

along Mal Brough and his bureaucrats have been racing to prepare the legislation to give

it authority. It came today,

500 pages worth, together with

a challenge to the

Parliament. To in fact have a

vote on the full legislative

package tomorrow. We certainly

want to support strong action

on child abuse. But we don't

expect to have a Government

behaving with such

arrogance. The Government is

treating the people of the NT,

the people of Australia with

contempt. Mal Brough's refusal

to accept even a one-day Senate

inquiry is straining

bipartisanship and antagonising

indigenous leaders who are

racing towards Canberra seeking

meetings and details. We're

told we ain't going to get a

copy before it's tabled in the

treatment Aboriginal people Parliament. This is the sort of

get. The laws give the

Commonwealth ongoing ownership

of assets it builds and

sweeping reserve powers to intervene further and

potentially more cost. Anyone

that comes up to me with cost

is either not a parent or

hasn't got a soul. Or has a

fine unite budget. On top of

the Territory intervention

there has also been a cost

blow-out in the Government's

program to provide Medicare rebates for psychological services. More people than

expected have taken up the

offer and the scheme is now

expected to cost double the

original estimates. Mental health professionals welcome

the extra care, but are

concerned people in rural areas

are still missing out. This

woman suffers from depression,

but the 18-year-old student had

to stop treatment when it

became too expensive. I was

having to pay about $60 per

session and I was having maybe

one or two sessions a week. But

under the new Medicare rebate for psychological treatment,

she no longer has to pay N the

first six months of its

operation, 700,000 claims were

made and the number is

Mental Health Council of increasing every month. The

Australia conducted the

analysis. It says some

Australians are still going

without. We want to know whose

needs they are meeting so that

the people who are missing out,

like young men under 25 or

perhaps rural Australians, can

get the programs and services

they need. The Opposition also

wants a break down of where the

services are being used. We are

concerned they are hiding

something and we suspect that

rural and regional Australia,

that really do have a high

demand for mental health

services, are missing out. That

data is not yet available, but

the data will be available next

year when the Government

undertakes a comprehensive

review. Experts say without post-implementation

knowing all the information,

it's impossible to gauge

whether people are being helped. The Government needs to

look at the daa. The minister

needs to review the figures and

we need to know exactly what

the distribution of services

is. The Government says the

program is sustainable at its

current rate and will ensure

Australians continue to receive

the services they need. When

it comes to drinking, some of

us it seems don't know what to

stop. New research into alcohol

abuse has found that 2 million Australians drink so much they

risk brain damage. Most of them

apparently don't realise how

little it takes to do permanent

harm. At his lowest ebb, Kevin

Clarke drank a bodile of vodka

and a slab of beer each day,

leading to alcohol-related

brain damage. It's taken him

years to go through

rehabilitation and get his life

back. Today I drove my own car.

I'm a father. I'm a pop! I'm a

brother. I'm a son. And I'm a

friend. Things I never thought

possible as a brain-dead

alcoholic four years ago. New

research shows 2 million Australians are at risk of

alcohol-induced brain damage

and it's not just bingers.

Women are at risk if they have

three drinks a day over a

decade. For men, it's six

drinks. Almost 60% of women

don't know that and nearly 70%

of men are ignorant of the

risk. Drinking damages the

part of the brain which

distinguishes between right and

wrong. The early warning signs

are memory lapses so people

start to forget things. They

forget appointments and things

they've been told. Women need

to be particularly careful as

the safe drinking levels are

much lower. If women drink a

bottle of wine with their

partner each night, that's the

equivalent of four standard

drinks. There are eight

standard drinks in a bottle of

wine. That's too much. Years of

heavy drinking left Lisa Mainland with brain damage and depression. It's been devastating. Been devastating

for her, devastating for me and

all the members of the family.

Experts want more education

campaigns and screening to pick

up brain damage in people

showing the first signs of the

disease. Dr Mohammed Haneef

may sue the Government over his

arrest and jailing on a

terrorism-related charge. Dr

Haneef's lawyer, Abu Hussein,

arrived home from India and

said his client was considering

his options. The mentality is

to sue. I didn't realise that

until I got over there and

talked to the rellies. Dr

Haneef said he would still

consider returning to Australia

and would like to become an

honorary citizen. The PM says

even if there were such a

thing, it wouldn't be offered

to Dr Haneef. He wouldn't be

the sort of person you would

make an honorary Australian. On Wednesday, Dr Haneef's lawyers

will appear in the Federal

Court to challenge the

Government's withdrawal of his

working visa. An Australian

special forces soldier has been

badly injured during a battle

with Taliban extremists in

Afghanistan. The incident

happened during a patrol by

Australian troops in the

Oruzgan Province, south of the

capital, Kabul. Injured soldier

has been taken to a military

hospital in Europe for

treatment. He's expected to

return to Australia soon. A

second soldier was treated for

minor injuries. The public

likes the idea, catch drag

racing hoons and crush their

cars. But the Premier is saying

not so fast. He's refusing to

endorse the proposal, only

saying it should be

considered. Now the Opposition

says his Government is not

serious about cracking down on

street racers. A string of

crashes in recent weeks has highlighted the problem of

street racing. In the latest

incident, a 17-year-old has

been charged and police are

still waiting to interview an

injured 20-year-old. Locals say

speeding cars have been a

frequent problem in the

street. Just doing ridiculous things. It's dangerous for

everybody. Of an evening

time, hoons are going up and

down the street, fast. There

is support for the Police

Commissioner's proposal to

crush cars involved in street

racing. If it comes to that,

that's what they will have to

do isn't it, crush the

cars. The Premier says if it

works as a deterrent, it should

be considered. I would

personally like to do a lot

more to these ba foons who do

this. The Opposition says the

Government has failed to crack

down on street racers and the

existing laws aren't

working. The reality is we have

confusion by a Government too

interested in fixing headlines

and not fixing the problems. A

magistrate has refused bail to

a 21-year-old accused of street

racing at 170km/h on the Great

Western Highway early on Sunday

morning. He's due back in court

next month. In news just in,

all Sydney jet cats and some

harbour ferry services have

been hit by snap industrial

action. An urgent hearing is

under way in the Industrial

Relations Commission over what

State Transit calls an

unofficial strike by members

refusing to do overtime. A

spokesman says they can't

guarantee jet cat services will

resume by tomorrow morning. A

man has gone on trial for the

murder of a wealthy widow in

Sydney's east, 12 years

ago. Bruce Burrell is accused

of killing Dorothy Davis so he

wouldn't have to repay a

$100,000 loan.

The jury was told that

Dorothy Davis was a vibrant,

energetic and intelligent woman

who had everything to live

for. As well as being wealthy,

she was generous and perhaps a

bit of a soft touch. The 74-year-old lived just a

stone's throw away from Bruce

Burrell and was life-long

friends with his wife,

Dallas. So when Burrell asked

the wealthy widow for money to

help buy a house for his sick

wife, she lent him $10,000. But

the prosecution told the court:

The money was allegedly

never used to finance the

property and when Dorothy Davis

wanted it repaid, she

threatened to go to her

solicitor. The jury was told that Bruce Burrell had no means

of repaying the loan to Dorothy

Davis and no intention of doing

so. He faced the prospect of

legal action and humiliation

and scorn from his extended

family. Bruce Burrell decided

that in order to get rid of

this problem, he decided to

murder Dorothy Davis. On the

30th of May 1995, she left her

home and was never seen

again. It's the crown case that

Burrell somehow persuaded her

to walk to his house to see his

wife. Dorothy Davis was

allegedly murdered there or at

Burrell's property near

Goulburn. Victims of the

holocaust have staged a

demonstration in Jerusalem

against the Israeli Government.

About 2,500 protesters demanded

an increase in financial aid

for the survivors. They are

angry at the Government's

latest offer of $20 a month.

Instead they want a greater

share of money they claim

Germany is already giving

Israel. For most of the people

it's too late and it's too

little. But this is what we can do. The Israeli Government

hopes to agree on a new deal

with survivors over the next

few days. Airline passengers

from the UK are facing strict

quarantine checks after a fresh

outbreak of foot-and-mouth

disease in Britain. The latest emergency in southern England

has been linked to a leak from

a research lab. There are no

cattle, sheep, goats, showing today. Close to the

foot-and-mouth zone, a British

country faair proceeds without

livestock. The outbreak

confirmed late last week has

already dealt a blow to

Britain's rural economy. The whole farming community,

throughout the whole country is

devastated. They are holding

their breath. Health inspectors

continue investigations into

how the virus, a research

strain first isolated 40 years

ago, could have somehow leaked

from these grounds. The site

is shared by two organisations

- the British Government's

Institute for Animal Health and

Merial, a company making

vaccines from live viruses.

The Government laboratory

insists no safety procedures

were breached. But despite

admitting to using the virus in

its production, now stopped,

Merial too says it's found no

faults. The initial

investigations shows no breach

in our procedures. It is really

too early in the investigation

for anyone to determine the

cause of the outbreak. Since

the outbreak was discovered

late last week, no further

infections have been reported.

But Australia's quarantine

officials are taking no

chances. They are warning

travellers arriving from

Britain to expect delays as all

luggage and foodwear are

inspected and disinfected where necessary. They say they will

do whatever it takes to avoid

the devastation of an outbreak

like Britain's 2001 epidemic.

Tonight's top story - a new

poll is set to add to John

Howard's woes. After today's

leaked research showed voters

think he's old and dishonest.

Still to come - Tiger on fire for the US PGA.

The Ghan has been involved in

a collision north of Adelaide.

A truck was turning across the tracks into private property

this morning when it and the

train collided. We felt the

ground shake. It was like a

tremendous bang. The driver in

his mid-50s suffered chest

injuries. He's in a stable

condition in hospital. The

truck was pretty much

destroyed. Thankfully the

driver of the truck was able to

be freed from his cabin. Two

passengerses were treated for

minor injuries. The train staff

and all 163 passengers were

checked before being taken to

Adelaide by bus. The Government

says it will force Telstra to

maintain its mobile phone

network in the bush until it's replacement is up to

scratch. Old network was due to

be scrapped from the end of the

year. But the Government says

testing of the Sneks G network

is behind schedule. The

Communications Minister says

she will make sure the old

system is left on until she's

satisfied the new network is

working properly. It's

entirely appropriate to protect

consumers. It's not unfair to

Telstra because if they make good their public commitment

there won't be any problem with

the network being switched off in January in any

event. Minister denies she's acting to placate the National

Party, saying consumer

complaints about the Next G

Network are on the rise. It's

been done for political

reasons, now one of the world's

leading scientists says it can

also be done for the

environment. The idea is to

cancel Third World debt to

encourage developing nations to

protect their pristine rain

forests. It comes as one of

Australia's leading actors

teams up with the conservation

foundation. It's a long way

from the glitz of Hollywood,

but when Cate Blanchett isn't

on stage, she's acting on

another cause. Climate change

is an issue that affects each

and every one of us, in

Australia and around the world.

Therefore, it's up to each and

every one of us to act

responsibly and do something

about it. With that in mind,

today she and the conservation

foundation launched a web

campaign, called 'Who On Earth

Cares'. It encourages all

Australians to log their

climate concerns. It's very

simple, even I can access the

website and I'm a complete

luddite. A global problem is

the increasing level of

deforestation, which accounts

for around a quarter of

man-made emissions. A former

chief adviser to the World Bank, who is visiting

Australia, says one way to

ensure Third World nations

protect trees is to cancel

their debt in return. Nations

will turn around and forgive

debt for political reasons, why

can't you do it for

environmental reasons? A

perfect example, he says, is

Indonesia where up to 70% of

logging is illegal. Green

groups agree. They are a nation

that has, in the past, done

debt deals. It wants to do debt

deals and we think the Government should play the

game. Even the Kyoto Protocol

to reduce greenhouse gas

emmissions fails to recognise

or protect existing forests.

Many consider this a huge flaw

which may be fixed when

countries gather in Bali for

the United Nations climate

meeting later this year. On to

finance and it was another bad

day on the local share market

after another big fall on Wall

Street. Here's Alan Kohler

with the details. It was

another good day to stay at

home on the share market with the All Ordinaries Index

closing 1.8% lower after being

down as far as 2.2% at one

stage. Once again, small stocks

did worst, while the

information technology sector

was the hardest hit. It wasn't

really a surprise though after

Wall Street had another shocker

on Friday. The broad S&P500

index fell 2.7%. This afternoon

some Asian markets have been

hammered as well. Singapore is

down more than 4%. The Japanese

market is not doing too badly.

The Chinese market is higher.

This is the All Ordinaries

Index over the past 12 months,

showing the corrections during

that period. 3.5 p, 3.5%, 3%,

6, 8%, probably with more to

come. Clearly this is not just

another correction. Looking at

some of the individual stocks

and investors are fleeing the

investment banks like their

backsides are on fire!

Macquarie Bank fell 6.6% today,

making it 24% in a couple of

weeks. Babcock and Brown and

MMF fell 4% each. Other big

falls included anything with a

big rise - Transpacific 9%,

Paladin Resources f.8 %, ERA,

6.6 and Cabcharge, 5.6%. There

were a couple of decent rises.

Bendigo Bank 1.6% and Coates

Hire 1.3%. Telstra fell 1 cent,

which was like a rie.z the

banks all did better than the

market as a whole as investors

came looking for safety.

Finally, the Australian dollar

eased today ahead of tomorrow's

twin interest rate meetings.

The Reserve Bank of Australia

and the US Federal Reserve

Board. The consensus view

that Australian rates are definitely going up is starting to crack with the

market. That's finance. A

document described as the

blueprint for Australia has

sold for almost three times its

expected price at an auction in

Sydney tonight. The single

sheet of paper has copperplate

hand writing on both sides. It

was discovered glued to the

inside of an 18th century book

in London. It outlines details

of the First Fleet, including

the names of ships, the number

of convicts and what was going

to happen when they

arrived. Paper sold to a private collector for almost $290,000, a record for an

Australian manuscript. The world's best golfer, Tiger

Woods, has recorded an emphatic

win, just a few days before the

year's final major, the US PGA.

He won the World Championship

event in Ohio for the 6th time,

blitzing the field by eight

shots. Tiger Woods keeps

rewriting golf history and today's chapter was a clinic

from the world number one. With

this chip in birdie at the

12th, Woods led by 8 shots

after trailing by 1 at the

start of the final round. The

putter was metro nomic in its

efficiency and he had chipped

in earlier for par at the 9th.

Fittingly, Woods held a gem at

the last to be the first player

to record a double atrick of

PGA titles at the same event.

It's its first win as a

father. Yeah, well, hopefully

it won't be my last! Woods will

chase his 13th major. Lorena

Ochoa won her first at St

Andrews. Starting the final

round with a six-shot lead, she

survived the wh and the odd

testing moment on the back 9.

She won by four shots to break

her major title drought. Well

done. Hopefully this is the

first of many. Ochoa's father

was on hand to help with the

celebrations. The football

federation's inquiry into a

disappointing Asian Cup

campaign began today.

Hopefully from that we can

come up with a series of

recommendations. National coach

Graham Arnold will survive for

at least two more internationals. Including one

against China in Sydney in

October. Though the search for his replacement has intensified. That's accelerated

in the last month or so. The Matildas team for the women's

World Cup was named today with

plenty of confidence for tough

group matches against Norway,

Ghana and Canada. We go into

the Cup probably with the strongest squad we've

had. Manchester United put its

hands on the first piece of

silverware for the new season

against arch rivals,

Chelsea. Unable to snatch the

win in real-time, United relied

on keeper Edwin Van der Sar to

win the penalty shoot-out,

saving three times. Lewis

Hamilton ham's victory was a

bright spot in a turbulent week

for McLaren. The 22-year-old

led from start to finish to stretch his World Championship lead over team-mate Fernando

Alonso to 7 points. Hamilton's

win might have lifted team

spirits, but it's done nothing

to soothe tensions between the

two drivers. They haven't

spoken since Alonso was

relegate Friday poll to 6th on

the grid for unnecessary

impeding his team-mate during

qualifying. The energy in the

team still remains and it

proves that there is nothing

that can stop us. The Wallabies

are hoping military precision

will sharpen them up for the

World Cup. They've taken part

in a gruelling boot camp near

Brisbane, which tested

endurance, skill and toughness.

That's not hard, Common! The

Wallabies's real test will be

the World Cup next month. Now

to a war story that has come

full circle. 65 years ago, two

sailors died when their midget

sub sank after a raid on Sydney

Harbour. Today their families

were welcomed back to pay their

final respects to the men and

visit their grave off the

coast. It was a moment these

Japanese had waited a lifetime

for, to say goodbye to the two

sailors who died in their

midget sub off the coast of

Sydney. Kazutomo Ban's older

brother commanded the M-24

submarine. I really appreciate the feeling the Australian

people have and the Navy for

the submariners, even though

they were the enemy, they are

here to commemorate their

deaths. 19 relatives and 150

Japanese sailors attended the

ceremony. World War II is a

dark period in the history of

both our countries. Men on both

sides perished and those who

survived have been left with

painful memories. Memories that

didn't stop Neil Roberts from

being here. He's one of the

last two survivors from HMAS 'Kuttabul', which sank in

Sydney Harbour after an attack

by the midget sub. When you

think of what they do,

travelling in those midget submarines was incredible

feat. Family members had a

private viewing of historic

artefacts, including part of

another midget sub recover

Friday Sydney Harbour. The Navy

hopes it will give the

relatives a better perspective

of what the two sub mariner s

went to. The relatives then got

as close to the grave of the

M-24. In line with Japanese

tradition, family members

poured saki into the sea, a

ritual of purification. The relatives were given sand from

the sea bed where the submarine

will remain. Time for the

weather now and in Sydney today

the top temperature was 19.

That was one above the average.

The main feature on the

satellite picture is a cloud band moving across western

Australia. Winds are easing in

NSW under a high pressure

system. That's a dominant

feature for us this week and

will keep things clear and

warm. An even dryer day

tomorrow for NSW. Only Tasmania

and WA expecting rain. In the capital cities tomorrow:

Repeating tonight's breaking

story - all Sydney jet cats and

some harbour ferry services

have been hit by snap

industrial action with State Transit saying it can't guarantee services tomorrow

morning. That is ABC News for

this Monday. Goodnight.

Closed Captions by CSI

Tonight on the 7.30 Report -

young and full of grog. I

passed out and then the next

thing I remember, my friend

pulled me out of the fire. The

alarming rise in teenage binge

drinking. The reality is that

the liquor licensing laws are a

joke.

CC

Welcome to the program. And

also coming up - the final

instalment in an extraordinary

chapter in Australia's military

history. But first, the revelation of Liberal strategic

thinking around the Prime

Minister's image problems.

Does it represent a damaging

leak, or is it part of some

manipulation? No-one in Machiavellian political

Parliament House today seemed

quite sure which. Highly

sensitive and confidential

Liberal Party polling appeared

on the front page of News

proclaiming John Howard to be Limited tabloids this morning,