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ABC News Breakfast -

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(generated from captions) The Federal Budget forecast

to show a deficit of almost $60 billion, trumpeting the

shortfall of the 1990s recession. Pakistan's army

kills hundreds in the Swat

Valley, more than 200,000

civilians fleeing the fighting civilians fleeing the

. A worsening humanitarian

crisis in Sri Lanka. A second

podium finish for Mark podium finish for Mark Webber,

Jenson Button continues his

dominance of the Formula 1 season.

Live. This Program is Captioned

Good morning, it's Monday, 11

May, I'm Joe O'Brien, I'm May, I'm Joe O'Brien,

Virginia Trioli, the top story

on ABC News Breakfast, there

are forecasts this morning that

the Federal Government's

deficit for the next financial

year will top those recorded in

the early 1990s recession and

those of the Whitlam those of the Whitlam years,

Access Economics predicts

tomorrow's Budget deficit will

be around $60 billion. The Rudd

Government's plan to provide 18

weeks paid apparently leave in

the Budget has been welcomed,

but the Opposition questions

why it's delayed until the

start of 2011. For more Ben Worsley joins us from

Worsley joins us from Canberra,

good morning, great to have you

back, it's said Access Economic

is described as Treasury in

exile, they get the figures

pretty right, don't they. They

do, remember not long ago Chris

Richardson the head of Access

Economics warned Wayne Swan the

Budget was buggered. This

report says, "I told you so",

access's estimates for the

deficit is $60 billion after

the tax cuts and pension

reforms are included, that's

less than some forecasters,

more than others, whichever way

you look at it it is

substantial, and a sober aspect

of this report is saying that

the Government's predictions

for getting out of that deficit

seem - well, their plans seem

to be a little optimistic, it

may be harder than they expect,

and take longer than they

expect at the crux of it is a

$22 billion drop, further $22

billion drop in expected

Government revenue this year

alone. Yes So that sets the

scene. The Government is

furiously setting its own

scene, managing those

expectations, which is the key,

it seems, apart from writing

the paper itself, the key task

of Government these days before

a Budget, Wayne Swan is in The

Australian with an interview

describing this as a Labor

Budget and outlining his plan,

the Government's plan for

getting out of the deficit by

2015/'16. There's a list in 2015/'16. There's a list in all

the papers of what we know is

in, out cut, added, I guess

tomorrow night we'll know for

sure, in the meantime there's another 48 hours of speculation. Look, we just

can't wait for it. Following on

from your observation of

setting the scene, an interesting observation made

interesting observation made by

Laurie Oakes in News Limited

papers where he said Joe Hockey

and Malcolm Turnbull and Malcolm Turnbull helped

Kevin Rudd and Wayne Swan balls

their alarmist speculation

about debt and the deficit

prepared the way for a tough

Budget. To a certain extent

it's true, the more we learn

about deficit the more the

Australian people go, "Blah, blah, black, we know

that". It's true to some

extent. They hit on the debt

and deficit angle if you like

to attack the Government,

helping them to educate the people before the Budget that

there'll be a large deficit and

tough decisions will need to be

made. The other tricky point

for the Opposition is the more

they criticise the Government

for going into debt and deficit

the more difficult it is for

the Opposition to oppose

measures framed by the

Government as a way of reducing

that debt and deficit. Wayne

Swan, in this interview in the

papers today is taking aim

papers today is taking aim at

the so-called Howard middle

class welfare, suggesting

various cuts from private

health rebates, perhaps

childcare rebates, etc, etc. If

the Opposition wants to oppose

that, they run the risk of

looking like hip crates, they

are criticising the deficit and

opposing, perhaps, measures

that might reduce the deficit

on other hand. Good to talk to

you, talk later. In other news

- Pakistan's military says

around 200 Taliban militants around 200 Taliban

have been killed in clashes in

and around the Swat Valley in

the past 24 hours, around

200,000 civilians have fled the area, Pakistan's area, Pakistan's President Asif

Ali Zardari has called the

Taliban a cancer that was

created by Pakistan and created by Pakistan and the

United States. He denies that

his country is on the brink of

collapse. Sri Lanka's

humanitarian crisis escalates,

hundreds killed in fighting on hundreds killed in fighting

the weekend. The Government and the Tamil Tigers have been

blaming each other for the

death, the United States

estimating 50,000 are trapped

in the last Tamil enclave in

the Sri Lanka's north-east.

Thousands flee to Government

aid camps. The United States aid camps. The United

will not adhere to a request by

African President Hamid Karzai

to hold air strikes in

Afghanistan. President Hamid

Karzai made the request because

of recent spikes in civilian

death, seven were killed in a

double suicide bombing in

Afghanistan overnight. The

attack targeted a police convoy attack targeted a police

in the Helmand province in the

south-west of the country.

Three days of heavy fighting

between pro Government forces

and Islamist groups in Somalia

left more than 60 dead and

injured, most of the violence

without a Central in Mogadishu, the country

without a Central Government

for 18 years. And the public

hearing into Victoria's Black Saturday bushfire disaster

begins today, the first person

called is the Country Fire Authority's chief Authority's chief officer

Russell Rees, it will be

streamed live on the Internet from the Victorian County

Court, submissions close in a

week. 173 people killed in the

bushfires have now been identified. Pakistan identified. Pakistan President

Asif Ali Zardari and

Afghanistan Hamid Karzai have

been discussing their new

approach to fighting the

Taliban on American television,

meantime the head of US Central

Command General David Petreaus

has been doing the rounds of

the weekend talks shows, he

says he's confident militants

won't be able to get hold of

Pakistan's nuclear weaponry

Indeed, now the Pakistani Government, military people

have all responded and

certainly the next few weeks

will be very important in this

effort to role back, if you

will, this exer sten shall

threat, a true threat to

Pakistan's existence posed by

the Pakistani Taliban. With

respect to the nuclear weapons

and sites that are controlled

by Pakistan as President Obama

mentioned the other day, we

have confidence in their

security procedures and

elements, and believe the

security of those sites is

adequate. We have a threat yes.

Is the state of Pakistan going

to collapse? Snow. We have 180

million, the population is much

more than the insurgence are,

but we do have a problem. We

have a problem because it's

been - like I said it was a

monster created by all of us,

we got together and forgot make

a cure for it. The Afghan

people are allies of the United

States, they want this effort

together to succeed. The Afghan

people see the President of

Afghanistan brings us plenty of

good things. Afghan good things. Afghan President

Hamid Karzai on the American

talk shows. Jacob Zuma begins

to appoint his Cabinet after

being appointed as South

Africa's new President. And

acknowledges the country was

feeling the bridge of the

global credit crunch, the

economy is not the only

problem. Andrew Geoghegan

reports from Pretoria. He's the

most popular South African

leader since Nelson Mandela. So

help me god. 67-year-old Jacob

Zuma has become the country's fourth democratically fourth democratically elected

President and vows to continue

the Nelson Mandela legacy of

reconciliation. There is a

place for all South Africans,

black, and white. Thank you

Madiba for showing us the

way. Witnessed by Heads of

State from around Africa,

including Robert Mugabe, Jacob

Zuma promised to improve the lives of all South

Africans. The dreams and hopes

of all the people of our

country must be country must be fulfilled.

There is no place for

complacency. No place for

cynicism. No place for

excuses. However, Jacob Zuma is

tainted by corruption

allegation, and many people

have deep misgivings about his

character and background. They

have a lot of doubts because of

his low education, his

background, because of his

attempt to balance tradition

and more dalty, because of all

that has happened to him with

the corruption the corruption case. Poor

South Africans see Jacob Zuma

as one of their own, reflecting

their difficulties and their morality, Jacob Zuma

morality, Jacob Zuma is

expected to make poverty expected to make poverty a

priority in his new

Government. He understand and knows each and everything what

is happening from the poor of

the poorst. There's going to

cause a lot of controversy for

prioritising the poor. Jacob Zuma says he'll maintain South

Africa's current economic

policies despite pressure to

adopt a socialist agenda. The

annual dinner of White House

correspondents is a chance for

US Presidents to have a little

pun, usually at their own ex -

fun, usually at their own expense. Barack Obama fronted

for the first time mocking his

own administration and getting

in a few digs at his critics

and the Republicans as well.

Bob at reports. The

correspondent's dinner dates

back to 1920 and since 1924 the

President has usually been the

guest of honour, George W. Bush

fronted up religiously and

proved somewhere deep down he

had a sense of humour, it was

into that lion's den into that lion's den that

Barack Obama dared to trend. I

had to confess I really did not

want to be here tonight but I

knew I had to come, just one

more problem that I've

inherited from George W.

Bush. Because it's a late-night

function the Obama children

were not there. Sasha and Malia

aren't here tonight aren't here tonight because

they are grounded. You can't

just take Air Force One on a

joy-ride to Manhattan - I don't

care whose kids you

are. Republican politicians

were fair game. Dick Cheney were fair game. Dick Cheney was

supposed to be here, but he is

very busy working on his mem yoirs, yoirs, tentively titled 'How To

Shoot Friends and Interrogate

People' Not only the other side

of politics were

of politics were targeted,

Hillary Clinton was in his

sights too. Yeah, we had been

rivals during the campaign, but

these days we could not be

closer, in fact, the second she

got back from Mexico she pulled

me into a hug and gave me a big

kiss. Time, it seems, flies

when you are having

fun. Finally I believe that fun. Finally I believe that my

next 100 days will be so

successful I will be able to

complete them in 72 days. And

on the 73rd day I will

rest. Barack Obama has no

intention of giving up his intention of giving up his day

job. Looks like it wasn't a

bad address. One other thing he

said that's been reported in

the papers is in the next 100

days I will learn to get off

the prompter, that's the

teleprompter, and Joe Biden

will learn to get on the

prompter. Yes, indeed. Referring to his

gaffes. Notoriously gaffe

prone. He mentioned sis

daughters Sasha and Malia,

there's an interesting side

story in an attempt to stop the

value of the paparazzi

photographs appearing of the

two daughters, with grainy long

lensed shots, the White House

is officially releasing lots of

photographs of the two girls

flooding the market, and,

therefore, reducing the need therefore, reducing the need to

rely on paparazzi. It's an interesting interesting strategy. Probably

sort of eases the pressure on

the children. Maybe the

paparazzi will give it up. With

so many photos out there. Let's

look at the front pages of the

major newspapers around the

country, Sydney Morning Herald

- working mothers hit the

jackpot with the

jackpot with the upcoming

Federal Budget encouraging them

to stay in the work

to stay in the work force. The

Courier Mail - agreeing,

calling the Government's

planned pamp leave scheme a

payday for parents. As does The

Sun. While The Mercury - Sun. While The Mercury - the Australian Family Association

says the apparently leave

scheme will dud stay-at-home

mums The West Australian -

accuses Treasurer Wayne Swan

targetting the wealthy on a

raid on middle class

welfare. Australian - the

Treasurer to deliver a Labour

Government the phrase Wayne

Swan is using. The Financial

Review - the Budget has been

crafted with the battle for

re-election in find. Adelaide Advertiser - South Australia to

get a boost from funding for

the Seaford rail line in the

Federal Budget. The Canberra

Times - pain ahead as an Access

Economics report predicts the

deficit will remain long after the global financial crisis

passes. The Age - cover-up by military personal investigate

ght the alleged involvement ght the alleged involvement of

Special Forces - investigating

the alleged involvement the alleged involvement of

Special Force leaving one

Afghan dead and two injured. The Daily Telegraph -

the Government plan to protect

a parrot costing 1,000 NSW

timber workers their timber workers their jobs. The Northern Territory News, Northern Territory News, a

crocodile stalks a nudist

beach. I'm sure we've reported

that before. If you'd like to send feedback on

send feedback on any of the stories:

Let's take a look at the Let's take a look at the top

stories on ABC News Breakfast -

the Federal Government deficit

for the next financial year is

forecast to stop those recorded

in the Whitlam years and early

1990s recession, Access

Economics predicts tomorrow's

Budget deficit will be almost

$60 billion. Pakistan's

military says around 200 Taliban militants have

Taliban militants have been

killed in clashes in and around

the Swat r the fighting has

forced 200,000 people to forced 200,000 people to flee

their homes, and hundreds of

people reported to have been

killed as Sri Lanka's army

shells the last Tamil Tigers

enclave. Thousands flee to

refugee camps and the United Nations estimates another

50,000 are trapped in the

fighting. fighting. With

An escaped orangutan sparked

the evacuation of hundreds of

people from the Adelaide Zoo

yesterday. But while ingenius

the great escape was

short-lived. Kristy Bennett

reports. The Zoo's orangutan

enclosure is a popular

attraction t proved more

entertaining than usualle You

could see its fingers holding

on to sort of a ledge and

essentially pulling itself

up. It was amazing how he done

it, was he actually got a

plant, pulled it obvious plant, pulled it obvious the

electric fence, and then got

over. Were you scared? Yes.

And we had to run really

fast. The 27-year-old animal's

bid for freedom began when it

used a branch to Short circuit

the trick barrier around its enclosure. Then she proceeded

to build a grass and to build a grass and branch

sort of set up where she was

allowing herself to raise

herself higher over another herself higher over another hot

wire and try to get to the

fence. While the orangutan

didn't clear the fence the zoo

wasn't taking chance,

evacuating the area, offering

refunds. We'll come back

another day day, it's

good. Mother's Day, we were

taken out for Mother's taken out for Mother's Day. We

didn't make it inside. The

animal returned to its

enclosure half an hour

later This animal has a history

of trying to outsmart and be

smarter, she's an animal that

caused lots of keepers a lot of

late hours. The suggestion is

its mate died last month and it

was traumatised from that.

Maybe looking for him or her, I wasn't sure which it

was. That's the girl. She lost

her male mate, she's been

grieving for a long time. Being

so clever that you get a long

stick and short the electric

wires, you figured out how the

electronics work, I love

it. Finance news - 1 million

home owners struggle to pay

their mortgages despite low

interest rates. A survey by

analyst Datamonitor found a

quarter of mortgage holders are

feeling mortgage stress, many

will have difficulties paying

back home loans in five

years. We'll look at the

figures, US figures, US stocks closing higher Friday:

Good if you are heading off on an overseas trip. Indeed. Vanessa O'Hanlon

here with a look at the weather

soon, and ahead we'll have a

review of the newspapers. review of the newspapers. Now,

Waleed Ally will be back with

you, he's the Monash University

lecturer and author to trawl

through what you don't know already about already about the Federal

Budget to be announced tomorrow night. With the weekend sport,

here is Luke Waters. Good

morning, to Formula 1, and a

spectacular crash hasn't

stopped the Brawn dominance

against securing a one/two

finish in the Spanish Grand

Prix. Mark Webber made it to the podium, finishing

third. The lights are out, away

they move. Jenson Button first to move:

A great start by Rubens

Barrichello. A Red Bull.

Wonderers back on to the racing

line, everyone else line, everyone else scattered.

Jenson Button is lighter and

stopping a lap or two earlier

than Rubens Barrichello. Jenson

Button - winner in Melbourne,

winner in Malaysia and Bahrain,

he's done it again in bars . To

what they had originally

planned on Jenson Button's planned on Jenson Button's side

of the garage, and... He was

just stuck at his pace. He did

a 23:03. Manchester United have

continued their winning ways

with a 2-0 win over Manchester

City. United three clear on the

competition table, Chelsea

found form crushing Arsenal

3-1. Let's look at highlights. Button's side of the garage,

and... He was just stuck at his pace. He did a 23:03. Manchester United have continued their winning ways with a 2-0 win over Manchester City. United three clear on the competition table, Chelsea found form crushing Arsenal

To cricket - Aussies Dirk

Nannes, and David Warner helped

the Delhi Daredevils to a

7-wicket win over 7-wicket win over Kolkata

Knight Riders, in the other

match the Indians too good for

the struggling Bangalore Royal

Challengers. Let's check Challengers. Let's check the highlights.

And two games tonight of

interest in the AFL, Saint

taking on Collingwood, taking on Collingwood, and

Sydney City Roosters are

hosting - it's games in Gosford, they are playing Gosford, they are playing the

Melbourne Storm, it will be an

action-packed Monday night. Is

it usual for the AFL to push

the Monday night games, is it a

regular feature. No it's the

NRL strong helder when a lot of

their games are played. Not

only is the AFL pushing into

western Sydney. They are

having a crack at Monday nights. Aggressive. You have to

stop resisting. They are coming

to get you. It's a bit like

that, t they are - people are

discussing whether the AFL will

play on Good Friday, and

perhaps even Thursday night games, so they'll be games, so they'll be flexible

with the game scheduling. What

about looking at the games

individually, St Kilda

strong They are, stable at the

moment, they look great.

They've hardly made challenges,

which is important for the

stability of the side. The key

player, Nick Riewoldt finding

form, Justin Koschitzke back in

the forward line. There's an

interesting subplot. Zack

Dawson for St Kilda, he played

for Hawthorn, he was 15 kilos

lighter and savaged by Anthony

Rocca, kicking eight goals,

Dawson is 15 kilos heavier,

Dawson is 15 kilos heavier, and

it will be interesting to see

how that dynamic plays out,

whether he plays on Rocca, how

it plays out. I have to it plays out. I have to put

myself in it. I've been the

occasional critic of Mark Webber from time to time

sitting on this couch. Will I

have to start eating my words,

is this guy showing decent form

or is it his team pulling him

through. It's his second podium

finish, I am not a massive

Motorsport aficionado, teams

play a big role, he's now, play a big role, he's now, as

they are saying in the media in

a decent car and a decent team

is behind him. He's driving is behind him. He's driving it,

he's the one getting he's the one getting there,

it's his second podium gsh.

I'll stick with the slipstream

argument. One more podium

finish and I'll shut up. We'll

keep that in mind. What about

the NRL game. Melbourne Storm

playing Sydney city Roosters in

Gosford on the Central Coast.

Storm have eight players who

played representative played representative footy

over the weekend, six in over the weekend, six in the

Test Friday night and two in

the city versus Country game,

possibly a little fatigued the

Storm. They are tipped for a

victory They are, they are in

good nick. ABC News Breakfast

can be watched live on the wek

from anywhere. Now with the

weather, here is Vanessa

O'Hanlon, it's cold start to

the week in the ACT. Good

morning, it certainly is. One

degree in Canberra, and the

coldest spot in the country,

it's the suburb of Brad it's the suburb of Brad wood

minus 2.1 because of a large

cool high sitting into the sea,

cool mornings, dry days for

southern inland parts. The

trough in the east intensifying

bringing further storms over

Queensland and with southerly

winds the coast of NSW,

Victoria and Tasmania expecting

light showers, as a front moves

through the south-west so will

a week cool change, crossing

with a cloud van, causing a few

light showers over the south light showers over the south of

Western Australia, and the cloud thickening over northern

and western Queensland, storms

increasing, skies clear over

the south-east. For Queensland

- showers increasing over - showers increasing over the

East Coast, rain and storm

increasing about the interior

and storms over the northern

tropics NSW - apart from early

morning fog about the ranges

and showers along the coast and

southern ranges, a fine day,

cool morning. Victoria -

isolated showers for the

eastern ranges, sunny morninging before cloud

increases over the north-east

and south. Tasmania - isolated

showers about the west showers about the west and

North Coast. A little morning

fog, it will be a fine but cool day and across to South

Australia with a cool morning,

frost over the south-east,

cloudy with isolated showers in

the far north-east clearing

this evening. To the west - a

cool change moving through the

south causing showers over south causing showers over the

South Coast reaching the lower

west this morning, up to the

north of WA - sunny, warm

easterlies for the Top End, a

fine day, isolated showers in

the north-east and far north.

Looking ahead to tomorrow:

See you in half an hour.

This is the top story This is the top story on ABC

News Breakfast - there are

forecasts this morning that forecasts this morning that the

Federal Government's deficit for the next financial year

will top those recorded during

the Whitlam years and early

1990s recession, Access Economics predicts tomorrow's

Budget deficit will be around

$60 billion, the Federal

Government is facing calls not

to delay a paid apparently

leave scheme to be outlined in

the Budget tomorrow, Wayne

Swan, Treasurer says the scheme

would benefit low and middle

income earners in need. It must

go to those that need it most.

This will be of particular

benefit to low and middle

income families, to low and

middle income mums who have

been left out in the cold for

so long. So those were the

primary carers income over

$150,000 won't be eligible. $150,000 won't be eligible. The

other thing I must say is that

this will be funded by

Government, not funded by

business. The Treasurer Wayne

Swan speaking there yesterday,

the Shadow Treasurer Joe the Shadow Treasurer Joe Hockey

says the delay to 2011 could

see employers abandon their own

maternity leave schemes until

the Government scheme is

introduced. My fear about this

being stretched out to 2011 is

that the employers that want to

continue or do implement

maternity schemes will pull up

stumps, now they know

stumps, now they know the Rudd

Government with taxpayers money

will step into the breach, they

don't need to do anything.

Bottom line - great policy, who

will pay for all this at the

end of the day. Joe Hockey

asking the questions there, do

you have answers for him, here

is how you can is how you can contribute to ABC News Breakfast:

In other news - Pakistan's

military says around 200 Taliban militants have been

killed in clashes in and around

the Swat Valley in the past 24

hours, around 200,000 people

have fled the area, Pakistan's

President Asif Ali Zardari

called the Taliban a called the Taliban a cancers

that was created by Pakistan in

the United States, he denies

his country is on the brink of

collapse. Sir laka's

humanitarian crisis is

increasing with hundreds killed

in fighting at the weekend. The

Government and Tamil Government and Tamil Tigers

have been blaming each other

for the death, United Nations

estimates 50,000 people are

trapped in the last Tamil

enclave in the north-east.

Thousands fled to Government

aid camps. The United States

says it won't adhere to a

request by Afghan request by Afghan President

Hamid Karzai to halt air

strikes in Afghanistan.

President Hamid Karzai made the request because of the request because of the recent

spike in civilian deaths,

meanwhile seven people have

been kid killed in a double

suicide bombing in Afghanistan,

the attack targetting a police

convoy in the Helmand convoy in the Helmand province

in the south-west. Three days

of heavy fighting between

pro-government force and

Islamist groups in Sam articlia

leave 60 dead, 200 injured,

most of the violence has most of the violence has been

in the capital Mogadishu, the country has been without country has been without a

Central Government for 18 years

now. The public hearing into

Victoria's Black Saturday

bushfire disaster begins today.

The first person to be The first person to be called

is the Country Fire Authority

chief officer Russell Rees, the

inquiry to be streamed live from the Victorian County

Court, submissions closing in a

week's time, 173 people week's time, 173 people killed

in the bushfires have been

identified. One of America's

most senior military officers

says he's confident that

Pakistan can prevent nuclear

weapons falling into the hands

of radical

of radical Islamists, General

David Petreaus spoke as

fighting between Pakistani

security force and Taliban militants continued. The

violence centred on the Swat

Valley, 80 miles from the

capital Islamabad, Pakistan

says 175,000 troops are engaged

in the operation, it's thought

up to half a million refugees

have flowed or are trying to

flee. This report from the

BBC. Fleeing with what little

they own. Escaping the

nightmare of fighting to the

north. The army lifted a curfew

briefly to allow people still

trapped in the battle zone to

escape. It's been criticised in

the past for killing too many

civilians, and failing to beat

the Taliban. But it insists

that this time things will be

different. Most earlier battles

took place on the remote

frontier with Afghanistan, but

this crisis is unfolding on the

doorstep of the capital

Islamabad, that is one of the

reasons why this Government and

the army wants to finish things

off as soon as possible. The

Taliban's recent advances have

raised fears the militants,

some allied to Al-Qaeda could

one day capture Pakistan's

nuclear Arsenal. But a top nuclear Arsenal. But a top US

general thinks that that now isn't possibleful We isn't possibleful We have

confidence in their security

procedures, and elements and

believe that the security of

those sites is adequate. The

next few weeks will be

important in this effort to

role back, if you will, this

exosten shall threat to

Pakistan's very existence posed

by the Pakistani

Taliban. Pakistan may not Taliban. Pakistan may not be on

the brink of collapse, but many

lives lives shattered.

TRANSLATION: My father is 80

years old, he was standing

outside his house, he didn't

know about the curfew, the army

opened fire, injuring

him. Hundreds of thousands have

been forced from their homes,

no-one knows how long they'll

have to stay here, nor whether

there'll be anything left for

them to go back to when this

conflict eventually ends. Now

good news seems to go hand in

hand with bad news, it's the

case for Bangladesh rice

growers, they have a bumper

crop but believe the price will

drop below the cost of

production. Alicia Byrne

reports. It's been a good

reports. It's been a good crop

in the fields of Brahmanbaria,

120km from Dhaka, the story

repeated throughout the rice

paddy areas, production 20

million tonnes, 14% more than

the previous fiscal year, the

price farmers receive is lower

than last year, in some cases

below production

costs. Trans This rice mill

owner says the Government

should buy rice from the

farmers then they'll get a good

price ordinaries farmers will

not benefit. not benefit. Bangladesh Agricultural Agricultural Minister Begum Motia Chowdhury says the

Government may consider

allowing the private sector to

begin rice exports to prevent

prices dropping too steeply.

We have already declared a

price incentive to the farmer.

We have declared the price of

paddy and rice, which is both

above the cost of production. Before rice

production began improving in

the last couple of years

Bangladesh had to import vast

quantities of its stable food,

helped by higher price, now

it's thinking of storing rice

for future emergencies We have

decided to stockpile from the

farmers, and that will make us

- give us the food security we

need in lean period. Bangladesh

needs 28 million tonnes of rice

each year to feed its 144

million people. Returning to

the Adelaide Zoo orangutan

break-out now, and Paul joins

us from the Adelaide's newsroom

to explain what happened. Now,

Paul, I think this orangutan is

called Carter. Can you explains

how she got out of her

enclosure? Good morning, she

was clever, in fact. Apparently

used to stick to Short circuit

her electric wire fence

surrounding her enclosure, she

built almost a little platform

out of other shrubs and twigs

and so forth that were in her

enclosure, she built that up,

climbed up on top of that out

of her enclosure on to a nearby

fence. How long was she out

for, did that happen for, did that happen during,

sort of, visiting sort of, visiting hours? Yeah,

very much so during visiting

hours, about 11:00, the zoo was

packed with families there packed with families there for

Mother's Day, she was out the

enclosure for about half an

hour, she didn't go anywhere,

sat on the fence, then almost

realised she was where she

shouldn't reason, zookeepers

say perhaps she was a little

spooked by her surroundings,

went back to her enclosure, she

didn't require tranquillisation

fortunately and voluntarily

decided she'd had enough,

looked around enough and time

to go home. The suggestion is

that she's a fairly

mild-natured orangutan, they

weren't too concerned about her

attacking zoo visitors. No,

they weren't, but look they

took precautioning, the zoo was

evacuated, people kept away.

She got close to visitors in

the zoo, not too close, within

a couple of metres, she sat on

the fence, wasn't aggressive

and was pretty much calm.

There was no great need for

panic, as a precaution they

locked the zoo, it was shut for

the rest of the day, and they

put the orangutan Carter back

in her enclosure, and are

working on the fence obviously. There's a suggestion

that she might be a little that she might be a little sad

about the passing of her mate a

month ago? Yeah, Pusong, that

happened a month ago, they were

close. Orangutans I guess as

many realise bond naturally

both with themselves and

humans, and are emotional. She

was a little distraught on the

fact that her partner for a

long time passed away, that may

have had something to do with

it. For the most part zoo

keepers say she's inquisitive,

mischievous and that's all

she's being. She's done this

before Yeah, she's a before Yeah, she's a willy

little thing, the zoo keepers

say she's keeps them busy, on

their toes, she has an

inquisitive mischievous streak

and likes to play pranks with

the zoo keepers. They had to

keep the zoo closed for a long

time because she wasn't fully

back into her enclosure. How

did they eventually coax her

in. She just sort of decided

she'd had enough, she looked

around enough and they say a

little spooked by the fact she

wasn't in her enclosure, her

safe surroundings, so after

about half an hour she wandered

back in. There was no operation

as such to get her back into

the enclosure, she wandered

back into there on her own, as

a precaution they evacuated the

zoo and kept people away from

her. A lot of publicity for

Carter and Adelaide Zoo. Paul

Kish in Adelaide thanks for

that. Just a little unfortunate

for mums who may have been

going to the zoo with little

ones on Mother's Day, at the

break-out like that. A special bonding time outside the

zoo. The last of the bird's

rehabilitated after a massive

oil spill off Queensland's

south-east coast are about to

be released into the wild. The

the birds have been cared for

by wildlife ranges on the Gold

Coast. These pelicans look the

picture of health, survivors of

the 'Pacific Adventurer' the 'Pacific Adventurer' oil

spill near Moreton Island in

March. Some of them were quite

brown with oil. Others had

patches on them. So it was

pretty distressing for the

birds, they all required

washing to remove the oil initially. For the past month

they've been cared for at a

child life park on the Gold

Coast They are in prime

condition, we've been fortunate

that these birds cope well in a

captured care environment like

has been specially built at Fleay's,ment The 'Pacific

Adventurer' lost 31 shipping

contain er in cyclonic sea,

some damaging the hull causing

200,000 litres of water to

leak, much washing up leak, much washing up on

Moreton Island, marring the

pristine beaches, coating the

wildlife. It's likely a lot

more animals would have died

but we wouldn't have seen them. The pelicans will return

in the coming days, they are

not expected to suffer

long-term effects, rangers will

track the birds. The spill

covered an area, we are happy

to have a positive outcome for

some of the animals. The some of the animals. The cost

of the rehabilitation hasn't been tallied, the State Government wants the Government wants the ship's

owner to pick up the tab. The

staff here at Fleay's are paid

for by the Government, this is

part of the their duties,

fortunate ly we have

specialists in regards to

looking after wildlife. Moreton

Island beaches will officially

open tomorrow. You are

open tomorrow. You are watching ABC News Breakfast, here are

the top stories - the Federal

Government deficit for the next

financial year forecast to top

those recorded in the Whitlam

years and the early 1990s recession, Access Economics

predicts tomorrow's Budget

deficit will be almost $60

million. Pakistan's military

says hundreds of militants

surround killed in clashes around the Swat Valley. Hundreds Valley. Hundreds reported

killed as Sri Lanka's army

shells the last Tamil Tigers

enclave. Thousands flee to

refugee camp, the United

Nations estimate another Nations estimate another 50,000

are trapped in the fighting.

More on that situation in

Pakistan, a battle between

Pakistani troops and the

Taliban set to intensify as the

Government lifts a curfew to

allow residents to flee allow residents to flee the

Swat Valley. Teps of Swat Valley. Teps of thousands

have been trapped the bat -

tens of thousands have been

trapped the battleground 130km

south-east of Islamabad, Sally

Sara reports. Pakistan's battle

against the Taliban is fought

near heavily populated areas,

in the Swat Valley's main town

of Mingora, these damaged homes

and buildings are evidence of

the scars of war, people are

trying to flee, it's not easy to get to get out.

TRANSLATION: People in the

area are very scared.

area are very scared. There's

no transport and a curfew is

imposed on us. The Government

launched a full-scale offensive

against the militants to halt

the spread of Taliban control. As intensifying

continues in neighbouring

Afghanistan there are fears

that the Swat Valley could

become another base for inurgents, inurgents, Pakistan's Prime

Minister called it a fight for

the country's survival but is

talking of damage

limitation. It is a resolve of

the army that there should be

Min maum collateral

damage. Critics - minimal

collateral damage. Critics

point to the failure of militants. The problem is they

go in, defeat part of the enemy

and leave, no-one holds and leave, no-one holds on. As

well as the threat from the

Taliban Pakistan has a massive

growing humanitarian frb,

officials predicting a million

people will be displaced in the

boarder ors, and camps are

stretched. Transranls I have

come from Swat come from Swat Valley, but

there are lots of problems at

the example, we haven't enough

shelter, 14 or 15 people are

crowding into one tent, the Government must bring more tents. The local Government

admits it has a crisis on its

hand. With thousands of people

trapped by the fighting some

family members have become

separated. For this man, the

trauma is overwhelming. For trauma is overwhelming. For a

look at the national papers, we

are joined by author and Monash

University lecturer Waleed

Ally. Good morning. Good

morning. Cannot avoid the

Budget. Didn't expect you tax Unfortunately. I don't

know, I don't understand know, I don't understand the

Budget thing, it comes out

Tuesday night and for the week

before we are guessing what's

in, thissen it comes out and a

couple of months later, it's

irt. Not guessing, they are

announces parts it. That plugs

in, nice segway to the front

page. Financial Review, I would

have pigged one of 3 trillion

articles - picked one of 3

trillion articles, I picked

this one. Saying the way to this one. Saying the way

analyse the Budget is not as a

Budget but an election

platform, the 2010 election

begins here, pointing to things announced maternity leave being

an example kicking in after

2011. We are seeing a bunch of

election promises, essentially, helping the Government

manoeuvre, so that when it

announces the Budget it can say

the Australian people can vote

to reject this or provide it - to reject this or provide it

I suppose a fresh mandate,

2010, making life difficult for

the Opposition, which then has

to come out taking solid

positions on what they'll do. The Opposition needs to

keep on hitting home this point

that the deficit would have

been much smaller if they were

in charge. I find that a

difficult line to run though.

Because it's a bit like the

interest rate line that the interest rate line that

Howard Government tried to run

at the last election as well.

Whenever you run a comparetive

analysis, it would be ifferent

under us, you are not saying

the - different under us, you

are not saying the deficit

wouldn't be there or be small

or nominating a figure, it's

difficult to sustain,

particularly from Opposition,

an easier argument to sustain

from encouple bansy, in

Opposition, especially when you

are not putting forward alternative policies

demonstrably going to make a difference, I am not sure how

long Malcolm Turnbull can keep

it up. What do you think it up. What do you think of

Laurie Oakes observeses when Laurie Oakes observeses when he

said the public expect

governments to make tough dif

decisions during bad times and

the Opposition - difficult

decisions during bad times and

the Opposition has helped the

Government make its argument

loweringing expectations

getting us familiar with a

large deficit by banging on.

You can see this reflected in

positioning itself over recent the way the Government has been

weeks saying this is going to

be an extremely difficult

Budget there'll be a lot of

tough decision, we are prepared

to make them. The latest move

on the front page of The

Australian, Wayne Swan's

discourse about the Budget

essentially being the Howard

Government's fault. Which has

been there in the background,

they've been reluctant to run

the line stridently

previously. The argument would

be the financial crisis is a

big deal, changing everything.

Now it's like they've wasted

the good years and that's the the good years and that's

Howard Government's fault. The

current Government delivered a

massive surplus in the last

Budget, there were questions

about what they did there. You

can start to see the Coalition

has snookered itself to some

degree as a result of talking

up how bad things are going to

be. Access Economics came out

today with this report

comparing it to the Whitlam

years, which I'm sure Kevin

Rudd wouldn't be too

comfortable with, by the same

tonen they were pointing out

that the decisions of

governments of both strikes led

us into this situation to an

extent. That is the kind of

things Access Economics often

says, that doesn't surprise me, the Whitlam comparison is

obviously a little

stretched. It's a bit naughty,

the Budget is bigger,

everything is bigger, talking

raw numbers Everything is a

record. In the good old days

-- It's a neat comparison

saying in the mind. One that

the Coalition may be keen to

hammer home. Circumstances are

different. This is where the

Coalition runs into trouble.

You have a massive economic

crisis, with that, for a

Government, particularly a new

Government, newish Government

political will comes a massive amount of

political will and

understanding from the public,

that may change in a second

term, as far as a first term is

concerned we have short terms

in Australia, the question the

Government will face is how

long can you blame the previous

Government and run this sort of

narrative, unfortunately for

the Coalition the answer may the Coalition the answer may be

at least until 2010 and beyond. The suggestion beyond. The suggestion from

some analysts is that this

Budget is the turning point in Budget is the turning

relation to that, this relation to that, this Budget

is the taking responsibility

Budget for labour That may we

drew true, the election is not

far away, you can say we are

take taking responsibilities,

this is a hunch, things change

quickly. The Australian

electorate will say a year is

not going to be enough or a

year and a half maximum. It

won't really be enough. The

Government is probably not it

terrible political

shape. There's a story on the

front page of 'The Age' . And

the Sydney Morning Herald. Now,

this is quite alarming. Back in

2006, in July 2006, the - there

was a shooting in a place

called Taren Kowt in

Afghanistan, in which a group

of Afghan civilians died. There

were some suggestions by people

at the scene and police chiefs at the scene and police

in Afghanistan that Australian

soldiers were responsible. What

followed was a very quick

investigation, in which that

possibility was dismissed, that

Australian soldiers really had

nothing to do with this, it's

now been revealed, according to

the Fairfax press that

documents within the Defence

Force suggest that actually

Australians may well have been involved, that that information

walls known at the time but not

passed up the chain to passed up the chain to those

who were going to be doing the

reporting. Isn't there a caveat

in that piece suggesting that information was not known information was not known by

Angus Houston when he fronted

the inquiry and spoke doit

doited That's right. There's no

suggestion that Houston knew

and misled. There is a

suggestion that it was known in

the broader structure within

defence, so the idea is that

it's suggesting there's been a

level of - I am not sure how

severe, some level of cover-up

of this kind of activity and

these implications, now, that's

potentially very serious. What I find interesting at at I find interesting at at least

in the story as presented in the story as presented today

is it doesn't seem to be much

reaction from the major

political parties, the Greens

vocal, which isn't altogether

surprising, on the issue of the

wars in Afghanistan, and Iraq

in an Oppositional kind of way.

Neither of the political

parties, major political

parties seem prepared to get

their fingers burnt in this.

That is intriguing. Afghanistan

is a very major conflict at the

moment, although this happened

in 2006, it resonates beyond

that, and some of the reporting

that we are seeing in the The

Age's report suggest that the

impact this is having locally

within Afghanistan, the

province where this happened is

that (a), it's driving the

population against the Afghan

Government, which is Government, which is allied

with the Australian Government

obviously and giving people the

idea that the Australian forces

want people to join the

Taliban, which is an

extraordinary thing to say,

this is what is being said by

people directly involved in

that incident. It's not

surprising the major parties

don't want to be seen giving

the army a hard time. That's

true, but when you run a line

that this is the centre of

counterterrorism and we are

boosting troop numbers and so

on, you'd want something to say

about it. Let's finish on your

little Susan Boyle item a

change of pace. It is a change

of pace, it doesn't go via

Afghanistan except to the

extent it involves Barack

Obama, Susan Boyle, of course,

many of you will know was on

Britain's Got Talent. Ason

sonnishing singer, she's been

invited to a dinner date with

Pam re, and turned him

down. For what reason Busy with

the show. Maybe she thought it

would stiffle her creativity,

no she said she was too

nervous, couldn't cope and was

washing her hair. If she wants

to be a professional singer,

she'll have to sing for the US

President. She'd like to, maybe

she's playing it well, making

herself valuable, "I am not

easy to get". A bit of a

tease. You can watch all tease. You can watch all of 'ABC News Breakfast' streamed live:

With sport, here is Luke

Waters. The Brawn team

continues to dominate Formula 1

securing a one/two finish in

the Spanish Grand Prix. Jenson

Button and Rubens Barrichello

avoided a spectacular first lap

crash forcing a third of the

film. Jenson Button won two

races. Mark Webber finished

third. Manchester United third. Manchester United have

continued their winning ways

with a 2-0 win over Manchester

City. United 3 clear on the

competition table, Chelsea

finding form crushing Arsenal

4-1. Let's look at some highlights.

To cricket and Aussies Dirk

Nannes and David Warner starred

for the Delhi Daredevils in IPL

action overnight. The

daredevils routed Kolkata for

123 runs, Dirk Nannes finished

with 2/15 from four overs,

Warner was among the chase.

Daredevils overhauled the total

for the loss of three wickets,

and Mumbai Indians too good for

Bangalore. Mark Cavendish an

English cyclist retains the lead in the Tour of Italy, lead in the Tour of Italy, and

Lance Armstrong is in the main

pack, gabing ground. Good to hear. What is the situation on

the AFL player who had the

sickening head clash. That was

Rance, he had surgery yesterday

and the surgery has gone well,

he had plates and pins inserted

and will hopefully be back in

two-three weeks. Now Vanessa

O'Hanlon with a look at the

weather, it's foggy in

Tassie. With the poor

visibility a road weather alert

for West Coast upper Derwent

valley in the

north-east. Showers to

Queensland - southerly winds,

the coasts over NSW, Victoria

and Tasmania light showers. The

high in the sea continuing to

bring cool mornings, dry days

for southern inland parts as a

front moves through the

south-west, so will a weak cool

change crossing with a big

cloud band across the south cloud band across the south of

Western Australia, with the

cloud thickening over northern

and western Queensland storms

increasing, clear over the

south-east as the skies remain

clear. As we look around the

States for today Queensland -

showers increasing along showers increasing along the

East Coast, rain and storms

increasing about the interior,

storms over the northern

tropics, in NSW early tropics, in NSW early morning

fog about the ranges and

showers along the coast and

southern ranges, it will be a

fine day, down in Victoria -

isolated showers for isolated showers for the

eastern ranges, sunny

eastern ranges, sunny before the cloud starts the cloud starts increasing

over the north-east and the

south. In Tasmania, a few

isolated showers about the west

and North Coast. A little foggy

at the moment. Clearing to a

fine but cool day. South

Australia - cool morning, frost

patches over the south-east,

cloudy, isolated showers in the

far north-east clearing this

even. To the west - weak cool

change moving through the south

causing a few showers over

causing a few showers over the

South Coast reaching the lower

west. To the north of WA,

sunny, warm easterlies for the

top end, a fine day, isolated showers in the north-east and

far north. Ahead to tomorrow:

Still ahead on ABC News

Breakfast, we'll speak to ambassador Chinmaya

Gharekhan. India's Special

Envoy to West Asia talking

about the Pakistan fight with

the Taliban, that's all coming

up shortly on ABC News

Breakfast.

The Federal Budget forecast

to show a deficit of almost $60

billion trump setting the shortfalls of the Whitlam

years, Pakistan's army kills

hundreds of militants in hundreds of militants in the

Swat Valley, more than 200,000

fleeing the fight, the

Victorian Royal Commission's

public hears into the Black

Saturday begin. A second podium

for Mark Webber, Jenson Button

continues his dominance of continues his dominance of the

Formula 1 season.

This Program is Captioned Live.

Good morning, it's Monday, 11

May, I'm Joe O'Brien, May, I'm Joe O'Brien, I'm

Virginia Trioli, the top story

on ABC News Breakfast - there

are forecasts this morning that

the Federal Government's

deficit for the next financial

year will top those recorded

during the Whitlam years and

the early 1990s the early 1990s recession,

Access Economics predicts

tomorrow's Budget deficit will

be around $60 billion, the Rudd

Government's plan to provide 18

weeks parental leave in the

Budget has been welcomed from

the Opposition and industry group, the Opposition group, the Opposition is questioning why it's been delayed until the start of

2011. For more on this we are

joined by Ben Worsley in our Canberra studio. Good morning,

it's looking like a big, big

Budget deficit, a big black

hole, we've been told this

again and again. We have been

told again and again, the

Government has gone to great

lengths to educate the publi